股市指標工具

  • 銅及金屬領漲全球ETF

    倫敦金屬交易所(LME)3個月基本金屬期貨3月15日多數上漲,銅價創下11個月新高,受中國冶煉廠減產的影響。期銅上漲1.8%至每噸9,074美元。Ishares Copper And Metals Mining ETF (ICOP)第一大持股Grupo México目前PER  13X,若銅價繼續上漲,目前評價相對合理。

    觀察其他金屬,如LME鋁期貨也是上漲,其整體走勢與銅差不多。然而,與建築大宗用料鋼走勢大相逕庭。

    Company/ETF Return_Week Return_Month Return_Three_Month Return_Six_Month Return_One_Year MA20 MA60 MA120 MA250
    Ishares Copper And Metals Mining ETF 9.30% 17.80% 17.70% 13.10% nan% 0.9 0.89 0.85 NaN
    Ishares Lithium Miners And Producers ETF 3.80% 10.20% -9.70% -27.80% nan% 0.98 1.01 1.08 NaN
    iShares MSCI China Multisector Tech ETF 3.40% 8.80% -0.60% -1.10% -6.10% 0.96 0.95 0.97 1.01
    iShares Global Energy ETF 3.00% 8.40% 9.30% 0.10% 22.20% 0.96 0.94 0.94 0.92
    iShares MSCI China A ETF 1.30% 6.70% 3.70% -2.60% -13.20% 0.98 0.94 0.96 1.03
    iShares Global Timber & Forestry ETF 0.80% 8.20% 3.80% 8.30% 17.60% 0.98 0.97 0.95 0.92
    iShares MSCI Agriculture Producers ETF 0.80% 2.90% 0.80% -5.80% -5.10% 0.98 0.99 0.98 1.02
    iShares Global Materials ETF 0.80% 7.30% 4.40% 8.10% 15.50% 0.98 0.96 0.93 0.93
    iShares Global Financials ETF 0.20% 5.60% 9.30% 16.20% 30.40% 0.98 0.95 0.9 0.86
    iShares U.S. Industrials ETF 0.00% 3.70% 9.60% 16.80% 29.30% 0.99 0.95 0.9 0.86
    iShares Global Consumer Staples ETF -0.10% 1.90% 2.70% 3.00% 5.20% 1 0.99 0.96 0.98
    iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF -0.10% 2.70% 4.80% 5.80% 12.30% 0.99 0.97 0.95 0.95
    iShares Global Industrials ETF -0.10% 4.90% 10.00% 16.70% 28.80% 0.99 0.95 0.9 0.87
    iShares Global Infrastructure ETF -0.20% 4.90% -0.20% 3.30% 3.90% 0.99 0.99 0.96 0.97
    iShares Global Comm Services ETF -0.30% 0.10% 12.40% 15.80% 38.50% 1 0.96 0.91 0.86
    iShares Bitcoin Trust -0.40% 33.30% nan% nan% nan% 0.9 NaN NaN NaN
    iShares Global Consumer Discretionary ETF -0.40% 2.20% 4.60% 5.20% 23.30% 1 0.97 0.94 0.92
    iShares Core 1-5 Year USD Bond ETF -0.50% 0.10% 0.50% 3.30% 3.80% 1 1 0.99 0.98
    iShares Global Utilities ETF -0.60% 4.70% -4.00% -0.80% 1.10% 0.98 0.99 0.97 1
    iShares MSCI Japan Small-Cap ETF -0.80% 5.10% 5.80% 6.30% 16.70% 0.98 0.97 0.93 0.92
    iShares Global Healthcare ETF -0.90% 1.90% 7.30% 8.50% 16.60% 1 0.98 0.93 0.92
    iShares MSCI Water Management Multisector ETF -1.10% 3.40% 7.50% 12.30% 17.30% 1 0.97 0.92 0.91
    iShares Global Tech ETF -1.10% 1.10% 9.00% 21.40% 47.50% 1 0.97 0.9 0.84
    iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF -1.20% 0.10% -0.70% 2.30% -0.80% 1 1.01 0.99 0.99
    iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF -1.50% 1.50% 1.60% 16.20% 15.50% 1 0.98 0.93 0.91
    iShares Biotechnology ETF -2.00% 0.80% 3.50% 6.80% 8.10% 1.01 1 0.94 0.94
    iShares MSCI Japan Value ETF -2.20% 5.20% 11.10% 10.30% 36.90% 0.99 0.95 0.91 0.86
    iShares Global REIT ETF -2.20% 1.40% -1.40% 4.00% 5.80% 1 1.01 0.96 0.96
    iShares Cybersecurity and Tech ETF -2.80% -4.70% 4.50% 17.60% 36.80% 1.02 1 0.93 0.85
    iShares Semiconductor ETF -4.10% 4.30% 19.60% 34.70% 63.90% 1 0.93 0.84 0.77
    iShares Global Clean Energy ETF -6.40% -7.50% -6.60% -14.80% -28.40% 1.04 1.07 1.05 1.19
    iShares Blockchain and Tech ETF -7.40% -11.30% 11.00% 58.00% 100.50% 1.05 0.98 0.81 0.73

    4 min read

  • 中小型股修正滿足點已到嗎?

    整個市場(上市加上櫃1800檔個股)大於其本身20日均線之比例為40%,仍高於歷史波段低點。歷史波段低點平約近30%,顯示中小型股區間修正空間仍然存在。此外就時間修正角度衡量,目前整體股票修正時間進行不到一個月,和上一波修正時間持續1.5個月比較,也仍不到底部。

    台股1800檔個股均線之市場廣度:20日,50日200日均線以上之個股佔比: 週K

    台股1800檔個股均線之市場廣度:20日,50日200日均線以上之個股佔比: 日K

    另觀察美國股市之代表S&P500,目前短中長期之位於20日,50日及200日均線個股佔所有500檔股票之比例均來到近80%之高水位。指數修正向下的機率非常之高,差異只在幅度大小,請拭目以待。美股若呈現弱勢,台股修正整理期間可能會拖長一點。

    4 min read

  • 台美日半導體設備比一比

    檢視美日台半導體設備及材料股,日本龍頭之東京威力科創TOKYO ELECTRON,預估PE達40倍,顯得不是很便宜。40倍的PE和TESLA差不多在同一水準,另外DISCO及ADVANTEST更達50倍左右,真是有過之而無不及。LASERTEC明年成長37%,PEG在1左右。美國設備股預估居於20-25水準相對較為合理,甚至以MAG7的評價觀察,大部份居於20-30倍,看來也只中間偏高,並無超漲。

    ticker company name country marketCap currentPrice 52WeekChange trailingEps forwardEps forwardPE pegRatio EPS Growth EPS Growth(F)
    NVDA NVIDIA Corporation United States 2188.2 875.28 281% 11.9 29.87 29.3 1.05 761% 28%
    TSLA Tesla, Inc. United States 558.4 175.34 0% 4.3 4.16 42.15 3.83 112% 11%
    AVGO Broadcom Inc. United States 606.5 1308.72 112% 32.98 56.13 23.32 2.19 188% 11%
    MSFT Microsoft Corporation United States 3018.4 406.22 60% 11.05 13.36 30.41 2.15 33% 14%
    AAPL Apple Inc. United States 2636.4 170.73 13% 6.44 7.16 23.84 2.34 16% 10%
    MSFT Microsoft Corporation United States 3018.4 406.22 60% 11.05 13.36 30.41 2.15 33% 14%
    GOOGL Alphabet Inc. United States 1688.7 135.41 49% 5.8 7.83 17.29 1.03 56% 17%
    asml ASML Holding N.V. – New York Re Netherlands 408.2 994.33 64% 21.78 30.52 32.58 2.07 13% 16%
    AMZN Amazon.com, Inc. United States 1821.4 175.35 90% 2.89 5.2 33.72 2.68 5069% 13%
    amat Applied Materials, Inc. United States 170.8 205.56 77% 8.5 9.55 21.52 1.72 19% 13%
    lrcx Lam Research Corporation United States 125.4 956.65 101% 25.9 35.75 26.76 4.48 -33% 6%
    klac KLA Corporation United States 94.6 699.21 92% 19.72 27.69 25.25 5.21 -38% 5%
    8035.T TOKYO ELECTRON Japan 17757 38360 141% 763.36 939.28 40.84 26.21 20% 2%
    6146.T DISCO CORPORATION Japan 5625.1 51920 256% 685.34 991.6 52.36 4.91 -3% 11%
    4063.T SHIN-ETSU CHEMICAL CO Japan 13113.4 6572 61% 266.82 310.96 21.13 6.51 -43% 3%
    6857.T ADVANTEST CORP Japan 5115.6 6930 144% 105.34 143.2 48.39 19.68 -26% 2%
    7751.T CANON INC Japan 4541.9 4598 57% 263.93 315.57 14.57 1.11 -2% 13%
    4185.T JSR CORP Japan 887.5 4275 35% 7.69 141.68 30.17 11.95 55% 3%
    6920.T LASERTEC CORP Japan 3496.6 38770 81% 608.69 933.88 41.51 1.12 112% 37%
    2467.TW C SUN MANUFACTURING CO Taiwan 18.6 124.5 156% 3.26 -25%
    6196.TW MARKETECH INTERNATIONAL CORP Taiwan 31.4 156 21% 11.66 13 12 -30%
    5234.TW DAXIN MATERIALS CORPORATION Taiwan 15.5 151 80% 5.07 6.98 21.63 25%
    3413.TW FOXSEMICON INTEGRATED TECHNOLOG Taiwan 24.1 248 28% 18.23 22.01 11.27 -40%
    4770.TW ALLIED SUPREME CORP Taiwan 30.4 381.5 18% 22.51 23.46 16.26 -18%
    1773.TW SHINY CHEMICAL INDUSTRIAL CO. L Taiwan 43.5 174 47% 6.28 7%
    3587.TWO MATERIALS ANALYSIS TECHNOLOGY I Taiwan 18.3 278.5 54% 10.61 13.01 21.41 -11%
    3583.TW SCIENTECH CORPORATION Taiwan 21.2 263.5 227% 8.06 7.13 36.96 28%

    4 min read

  • 市場崩於一夕! 市場廣度已預見

    就市場廣度觀點思考,大於20日均線之上的個股數,已於2週前開始,和指數呈現背離,中小型股走勢下行與台積電等大型權值股分道揚鑣。大盤強者恒強情況下,權值支撐指數將會保持強勢。只不過,弱勢的中小股將每況愈下。

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    4 min read

  • 主力炒作靠外國月亮壯膽

    達興材料(5234)今日股價過前波高點;驗證日本半導體設備股指數(前4大市值合計),已先行跳漲,並盤整創高。可見台灣主力炒作個股,也是要藉外國月亮壯膽。所謂指路仙人是也。

    4 min read

  • 4 min read


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